Skip to content
  • Students & Alumni
    • Career Services
    • Alumni Relations
    • Student Support
    • Graduate Resource Library
    • For Employers
  • News
  • Events
    • Events Calendar
    • Luskin Summit
    • Luskin Lecture Series
    • California Policy Briefing
    • Commencement
  • Students & Alumni
    • Career Services
    • Alumni Relations
    • Student Support
    • Graduate Resource Library
    • For Employers
  • News
  • Events
    • Events Calendar
    • Luskin Summit
    • Luskin Lecture Series
    • California Policy Briefing
    • Commencement
Giving
UCLA Luskin School of Public Affairs Logo
  • Academics
    Departments & Programs
    • Global Public Affairs
    • Public Policy
    • Real Estate Development
    • Social Welfare
    • Urban Planning
    • Undergraduate Program
    • Global Public Affairs
    • Public Policy
    • Real Estate Development
    • Social Welfare
    • Urban Planning
    • Undergraduate Program
    Graduate Degrees
    • Master of Global Public Affairs (MGPA)
    • Master of Public Policy (MPP)
    • Master of Real Estate Development (MRED)
    • Master of Social Welfare (MSW)
    • Master of Urban and Regional Planning (MURP)
    • PhD in Social Welfare
    • PhD in Urban Planning
    • Master of Global Public Affairs (MGPA)
    • Master of Public Policy (MPP)
    • Master of Real Estate Development (MRED)
    • Master of Social Welfare (MSW)
    • Master of Urban and Regional Planning (MURP)
    • PhD in Social Welfare
    • PhD in Urban Planning
    Undergraduate Degrees
    • BA in Public Affairs
    • Minor in Urban and Regional Studies
    • Minor in Gerontology
    • Minor in Public Affairs
    • BA in Public Affairs
    • Minor in Urban and Regional Studies
    • Minor in Gerontology
    • Minor in Public Affairs
    Professional Certificates
    • AI in Public Affairs Certificate
    • AI in Public Affairs Certificate
  • Admissions
    Program Specific Admissions
    • Global Public Affairs
    • Public Policy
    • Real Estate Development
    • Social Welfare
    • Urban Planning
    • Undergraduate Program
    • Global Public Affairs
    • Public Policy
    • Real Estate Development
    • Social Welfare
    • Urban Planning
    • Undergraduate Program
  • Faculty
    Our Faculty
    • All Faculty
    • Public Policy
    • Real Estate Development
    • Social Welfare
    • Urban Planning
    • All Faculty
    • Public Policy
    • Real Estate Development
    • Social Welfare
    • Urban Planning
    Leadership
    • Our Dean
    • Board of Advisors
    • Faculty Executive Committee
    • Our Dean
    • Board of Advisors
    • Faculty Executive Committee
  • Research Centers
    • Agile Visual Analytics Lab (AVAL)

      Empowers stakeholders with data to make informed decisions for children, families, and communities.

    • Berggruen Governance Index

      Evaluates the quality of political governance and democracy worldwide.

    • Center for Neighborhood Knowledge (CNK)

      Specializes in spatial analysis of socioeconomic disparities in neighborhoods.

    • Center for Policy Research on Aging (CPRA)

      Explores the societal and policy implications of an aging population.

    • Agile Visual Analytics Lab (AVAL)

      Empowers stakeholders with data to make informed decisions for children, families, and communities.

    • Berggruen Governance Index

      Evaluates the quality of political governance and democracy worldwide.

    • Center for Neighborhood Knowledge (CNK)

      Specializes in spatial analysis of socioeconomic disparities in neighborhoods.

    • Center for Policy Research on Aging (CPRA)

      Explores the societal and policy implications of an aging population.

    • Institute of Transportation Studies (ITS)

      Advances research, education, and meaningful civic engagement on transportation issues.

    • Institute on Inequality and Democracy

      Advances scholarship that confronts threats to democracy in America and around the world.

    • Latin American Cities Initiative

      Connects urban planning and policy networks across the Americas.

    • Latino Policy & Politics Institute (LPPI)

      Addresses policy challenges facing Latinos and communities of color.

    • Institute of Transportation Studies (ITS)

      Advances research, education, and meaningful civic engagement on transportation issues.

    • Institute on Inequality and Democracy

      Advances scholarship that confronts threats to democracy in America and around the world.

    • Latin American Cities Initiative

      Connects urban planning and policy networks across the Americas.

    • Latino Policy & Politics Institute (LPPI)

      Addresses policy challenges facing Latinos and communities of color.

    • Lewis Center for Regional Policy Studies

      Studying housing affordability and transportation equity in the L.A. region.

    • Los Angeles Education Research Institute (LAERI)

      Collaborates with schools to improve educational outcomes for L.A. students.

    • Luskin Center for Innovation

      Informing effective and equitable environmental policy that improves lives.

    • UCLA Voting Rights Project

      The flagship project for voting rights litigation and policy research.

    • Lewis Center for Regional Policy Studies

      Studying housing affordability and transportation equity in the L.A. region.

    • Los Angeles Education Research Institute (LAERI)

      Collaborates with schools to improve educational outcomes for L.A. students.

    • Luskin Center for Innovation

      Informing effective and equitable environmental policy that improves lives.

    • UCLA Voting Rights Project

      The flagship project for voting rights litigation and policy research.

    All Research Centers
  • Outcomes
Home / News / Tilly on the Government Shutdown and Specter of Recession

Tilly on the Government Shutdown and Specter of Recession

Posted in

  • Luskin in the News, Public Policy, Urban Planning

Published on

  • November 4, 2025
  • economy, government, labor, recession, Trump, UCLA, UCLA Luskin

Share this Article

UCLA Luskin’s Chris Tilly spoke to Al Jazeera News about the consequences of the U.S. government’s extended shutdown.

About 1.4 million federal employees are furloughed or working without pay, and many government services have been suspended nationwide. Tilly spoke about the multiplier effects that could shake consumer and business confidence in the economy. And he noted that the shutdown is one crisis point in a bigger fight about the role of government, including recent moves to keep taxes low on billionaires and cut back on the social safety net.

“We economists feel like there’s a lot of reasons to be concerned because the economy is already fragile,” said Tilly, a labor economist and professor of urban planning and sociology. “The Federal Reserve and economic forecasters are saying we’re scarily close to falling into a recession. So it may not take much to push us over the edge.”

Read the Full Article
Faculty Mentioned in this Article
Chris Tilly

Chris Tilly

Professor of Urban Planning and Sociology

Chris Tilly studies labor markets, inequality, urban development, and public policies directed toward better jobs. He is particularly interested in...

Related Articles

Large vehicle parked.

Tilly on the Restrictions Placed on Large Vehicles in Unincorporated Communities

March 10, 2026
Luskin in the News
A new ordinance will put further restrictions on where large vehicles can park in L.A. County’s...
Read More
airplanes at airport

Tilly on Global Impact of U.S. Economic Data Interruption

November 10, 2025
Luskin in the News
International markets and central banks also rely on economic indicators on hold due to the U.S....
Read More
Image of empty downtown Los Angeles street.

Tilly on Impact of Immigration Raids on Local Business

June 17, 2025
Luskin in the News
The economic fallout is clearly visible in L.A.’s normally busy downtown area....
Read More
MxFamStore1

Tilly on Impact of Tariffs on Products and Rebuilding in L.A.

May 13, 2025
Luskin in the News
Expert does not expect additional monetary help from the state, county or city to help individuals...
Read More
CTilly1

Tilly on the Effects of Tariffs in California

April 23, 2025
Luskin in the News
Overcapacity and tariffs contribute to state’s warehouse job losses....
Read More
CTill16x91

Tilly on California Governor’s Remote Work Rollback

March 12, 2025
Luskin in the News
Public employees in California and other states are being pushed back to their offices....
Read More
Learn more about UCLA Luskin

Find contact information and get answers to your questions.

Contact Us

Public Affairs Building
337 Charles E. Young Drive East
Los Angeles, California 90095

Linkedin Youtube Instagram Facebook X-twitter
Campus Resources
  • Map, Directions, Parking
  • Directory
  • Academic Calendar
  • Careers
  • Map, Directions, Parking
  • Directory
  • Academic Calendar
  • Careers
School Resources
  • About
  • Our Dean
  • Administration
  • Luskin School Intranet
  • Board of Advisors
  • Contact Us
  • Visit Us
  • About
  • Our Dean
  • Administration
  • Luskin School Intranet
  • Board of Advisors
  • Contact Us
  • Visit Us
UCLA logo
© 2026 Regents of the University of California
  • Emergency
  • Accessibility
  • Privacy & Terms of Use
  • Emergency
  • Accessibility
  • Privacy & Terms of Use
Facebook Instagram Linkedin X-twitter Youtube Threads
UCLA Luskin School of Public Affairs Logo
Academics
Departments
  • Global Public Affairs
  • Public Policy
  • Real Estate Development
  • Social Welfare
  • Urban Planning
  • Undergraduate Program
  • Global Public Affairs
  • Public Policy
  • Real Estate Development
  • Social Welfare
  • Urban Planning
  • Undergraduate Program
Graduate Programs
  • Master of Global Public Affairs (MGPA)
  • Master of Public Policy (MPP)
  • Master of Real Estate Development (MRED)
  • Master of Social Welfare (MSW)
  • Master of Urban and Regional Planning (MURP)
  • PhD in Social Welfare
  • PhD in Urban Planning
  • Master of Global Public Affairs (MGPA)
  • Master of Public Policy (MPP)
  • Master of Real Estate Development (MRED)
  • Master of Social Welfare (MSW)
  • Master of Urban and Regional Planning (MURP)
  • PhD in Social Welfare
  • PhD in Urban Planning
Undergraduate Programs
  • BA in Public Affairs
  • Minor in Urban and Regional Studies
  • Minor in Gerontology
  • Minor in Public Affairs
  • BA in Public Affairs
  • Minor in Urban and Regional Studies
  • Minor in Gerontology
  • Minor in Public Affairs
Professional Certificates
  • AI in Public Affairs Certificate
  • AI in Public Affairs Certificate
Admissions
Program Specific Admissions
  • Global Public Affairs
  • Public Policy
  • Real Estate Development
  • Social Welfare
  • Urban Planning
  • Undergraduate Program
  • Global Public Affairs
  • Public Policy
  • Real Estate Development
  • Social Welfare
  • Urban Planning
  • Undergraduate Program
Faculty
Our Faculty
  • All Faculty
  • Public Policy
  • Real Estate Development
  • Social Welfare
  • Urban Planning
  • All Faculty
  • Public Policy
  • Real Estate Development
  • Social Welfare
  • Urban Planning
Leadership
  • Our Dean
  • Board of Advisors
  • Faculty Executive Committee
  • Our Dean
  • Board of Advisors
  • Faculty Executive Committee
Research Centers
  • Agile Visual Analytics Lab (AVAL)

    Empowers stakeholders with data to make informed decisions for children, families, and communities.

  • Berggruen Governance Index

    Evaluates the quality of political governance and democracy worldwide.

  • Center for Neighborhood Knowledge (CNK)

    Specializes in spatial analysis of socioeconomic disparities in neighborhoods.

  • Center for Policy Research on Aging (CPRA)

    Explores the societal and policy implications of an aging population.

  • Agile Visual Analytics Lab (AVAL)

    Empowers stakeholders with data to make informed decisions for children, families, and communities.

  • Berggruen Governance Index

    Evaluates the quality of political governance and democracy worldwide.

  • Center for Neighborhood Knowledge (CNK)

    Specializes in spatial analysis of socioeconomic disparities in neighborhoods.

  • Center for Policy Research on Aging (CPRA)

    Explores the societal and policy implications of an aging population.

  • Institute of Transportation Studies (ITS)

    Advances research, education, and meaningful civic engagement on transportation issues.

  • Institute on Inequality and Democracy

    Advances scholarship that confronts threats to democracy in America and around the world.

  • Latin American Cities Initiative

    Connects urban planning and policy networks across the Americas.

  • Latino Policy & Politics Institute (LPPI)

    Addresses policy challenges facing Latinos and communities of color.

  • Institute of Transportation Studies (ITS)

    Advances research, education, and meaningful civic engagement on transportation issues.

  • Institute on Inequality and Democracy

    Advances scholarship that confronts threats to democracy in America and around the world.

  • Latin American Cities Initiative

    Connects urban planning and policy networks across the Americas.

  • Latino Policy & Politics Institute (LPPI)

    Addresses policy challenges facing Latinos and communities of color.

  • Lewis Center for Regional Policy Studies

    Studying housing affordability and transportation equity in the L.A. region.

  • Los Angeles Education Research Institute (LAERI)

    Collaborates with schools to improve educational outcomes for L.A. students.

  • Luskin Center for Innovation

    Informing effective and equitable environmental policy that improves lives.

  • UCLA Voting Rights Project

    The flagship project for voting rights litigation and policy research.

  • Lewis Center for Regional Policy Studies

    Studying housing affordability and transportation equity in the L.A. region.

  • Los Angeles Education Research Institute (LAERI)

    Collaborates with schools to improve educational outcomes for L.A. students.

  • Luskin Center for Innovation

    Informing effective and equitable environmental policy that improves lives.

  • UCLA Voting Rights Project

    The flagship project for voting rights litigation and policy research.

All Research Centers
Outcomes
Common Search Terms

Results will show as you type.